English Premier League Betting – 06/10 Predictions

Today’s action-packed program from the EPL contains four games. We analyzed Arsenal v Bournemouth yesterday, with a proposed bet of Over 3.5 Goals at odds of 1.95*.

In this post we will focus on the other three games and see what sports bets we can place on them.

Man City v Wolves

The reigning champions welcome Wolves at the Etihad in what looks to be another drubbing inflicted by Pep Guardiola’s troops.

Without a doubt, everyone still remembers the last league game played at that stadium. Poor Watford were down 5:0 inside just 19 minutes of play, and The Citizens fell just short of breaking the all-time Premier League record of a biggest-margin victory, ending the game 8:0.

This will be a scary thought for Wolves who have had two days less for preparation by virtue of playing an Europa League game in Turkey on Thursday night. On the other hand, Man City played their Champions League game on Tuesday at home, so there is a big rest and travelling disadvantage here.

Even without this advantage for Man City, you would expect them to demolish every opponent when you look at how they play football. They have scored an average of 3.86 goals per game this season. Despite that, they are currently eight points behind Liverpool. This means The Citizens will be highly motivated to destroy yet another opponent and continue the two-horse race for the Premier League title.

Kevin De Bruyne is the notable absentee from the Man City squad, but even without him, they have enough quality players in their squad to field three strong teams. The difference in the quality of players Man City possess as opposed to other EPL teams is out of this world. Sterling, Aguero, David Silva and Riyad Mahrez will be prepared to run the show today.

As far as Wolves are concerned, their squad depth is just not sufficient for competing at a high level both in the Premier and the Europa League. Combine that with the rest disadvantage already mentioned, and the prediction for this match is clear – a big win for Man City, with 3 goals margin or more, maybe with a clean sheet.

1xBet are offering odds of 2.83* on such an outcome and this represents a good pick.

Southampton v Chelsea

St Mary’s will welcome yet another tough opponent which will extend Southampton’s series of hard home games. They’ve already played Liverpool, Man Utd and Bournemouth (a south coast rival who beat them 1:3 in that match) and next in line is a Chelsea team who are flying high under new manager Frank Lampard.

The Blues have won their last three games in all competitions. There are positive vibes around the team – there seems to be a good connection between the team and the manager, whereas the fans are also happy to see youngsters from Chelsea’s development system break through in the first team and produce great performances.    

Tammy Abraham is scoring goals for fun since the start of the season, whereas Mason Mount is supporting him from attacking midfield. Callum Hudson-Odoi is also back after a lengthy spell on the sidelines, and the likes of Pedro and Willian are also available to cause havoc among the opposition’s defense.

On the contrary, Chelsea’s defense is not stable at all, but there are small incremental improvements since the first few games of the season. They still have a lot of work to do there, though.

Likewise, Southampton’s defense is not consistent – the manager is making changes left and right and you would struggle to predict who exactly will play at the back for the Saints in any given week. They played a left-footed center back at right back in the loss against Bournemouth (?!?). In addition, they were not able to avoid defeat away at Tottenham Hotspur last weekend despite playing 11 vs 10 for more than an hour.

Considering all of the above, a victory for Chelsea combined with Both Teams To Score looks like a good bet. Betsson are offering odds of 3.45* on that outcome. A correct score of 1:2 looks like a good shout.

Newcastle v Man Utd

The final EPL game before the International Break sees two struggling teams lock horns as Newcastle host Manchester United.

Newcastle, together with Watford, currently look like the most likely team to get relegated at the end of the season. A combination of uninspiring football players and lack of support from the fans towards the manager and the club owner transforms into results like the 5:0 loss last weekend at Leicester.

Prior to that match, The Magpies failed to beat Brighton at home in what was one of the most boring encounters of the season. You just don’t expect Newcastle to score goals – they’ve managed to do so only 4 times in 7 matches this season.

Man Utd, similarly, are very disappointing. Occupying a mid-table spot is not what the fans of this once great team are used to. They have struggled to score goals, and on top of that they have a whole bunch of missing players for today’s game – Anthony Martial, Paul Pogba, Jesse Lingard, Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Luke Shaw are the notable absentees.

In spite of their awful performances in attack, the defense looks good. Man Utd are among the best teams in the league in terms of big chances conceded. The arrival of Harry Maguire during the summer has strengthened the rearguard.

A clean sheet for Man Utd is expected then, and maybe today someone from their forwards – Rashford, Greenwood, Mata, James – will step up to score at least once. Because if they don’t defeat Newcastle, Solskjaer may be on the lookout for another job during the international break.

1xBet offer 1.90* on an away win today, and I think it’s worth a try.

Premier League Picks for Today

Man City v Wolves Prediction: Home Win with a Clean Sheet and Winning Margin of 3 goals or more

Odds: 2.83* @ 1xBet

Bankroll Management: 4/10 Units

Southampton v Chelsea Prediction: Away Win with Both Teams to Score

Odds: 3.45* @ Betsson

Bankroll Management: 3/10 Units

Newcastle v Man Utd Prediction: Away Win

Odds: 1.90* @ 1xBet

Bankroll Management: 7/10 Units

*Please note that odds vary. The odds mentioned here are correct at the time of writing.