Here we are at the last day of the first bunch of EURO 2020 qualifiers. Eight more games across 3 groups are being played today before the players go back to their clubs. The next two rounds of fixtures are in June and we’ll assess the situation in a few days with a full recap of the games that were played in Matchdays 1 and 2 and what we can expect next.
Monday betting summary
Kosovo could not beat Bulgaria and it’s a pity for them as they thoroughly deserved it. They are ahead in every major stat in this game apart from the one that counts the most – the goals. Kosovo had the better chances, but good goalkeeping coupled with some wasteful finishing cost them the three points. They also hit the post. Their opposition – Bulgaria – again played a bad game away from home, but managed to score a goal from a set piece.
On the other hand, at least the BTTS pick suggested yesterday in Portugal v Serbia was successful. The game ended in a draw much to the dislike of the reigning European Champions. Portugal now find themselves in a tougher situation than initially expected after earning just two points from two home games. They will hope for better luck when their next EURO 2020 qualifier arrives in the autumn (there will be no fixtures for them in June as they will contest in the UEFA Nations League Finals). During yesterday’s game, Cristiano Ronaldo was injured and left the game at the 30-minute mark which was another factor against the Portuguese national football team.
England are the team on fire over the first couple of EURO 2020 qualifying matches. They scored 5 goals in both games they played and have left no doubts in anyone that the first place in the group is theirs to lose.
Ukraine escaped an embarrassing draw away to Luxembourg thanks to a lucky own goal in the 93rd minute. Albania, France and Turkey achieved comfortable wins against inferior opposition.
Bets for today
At first glance, I don’t fancy any pre-match odds in the EURO 2020 qualifiers today. My betting strategy will be to follow live two of the games I’ve targeted picks in and see how they develop over the first 15 minutes or so. Live betting is often a great solution in such cases.
When I saw odds of 3.25 on Armenia at home to Finland, I immediately thought there’s value here. Then I remembered the home loss Armenia suffered to Gibraltar several months ago in the Nations League. The historic H2H record is in favor of Finland as well. Also, the team from Northern Europe will play with less pressure due to already having secured a playoff berth. After examining the first 15-20 minutes of the game, I’ll decide whether to bet on it and on what exactly. If Armenia have some quality attacks I may back them to win. Otherwise, if they show lack of energy due to their recent bad results, I may skip this game altogether.
Secondly, odds of 1.80 on Bosnia to win at home against Greece look good, but I had second thoughts again. Bosnia have just one win in 9 games versus their opponent and in addition, a low-scoring affair is expected. It wouldn’t be shocking if Greece play ultra-defensive aiming for a draw and achieving it. I am still on Bosnia as favorites but will make a decision after watching the first 10-15 minutes or so. Hopefully they won’t have scored the first goal until then. 🙂
All other games are no-bets for me today. The Scandinavian derby Norway v Sweden, together with Switzerland v Denmark could go either way, whereas Ireland weren’t convincing against Gibraltar and average odds of 1.70 are not enough for me to back them. In addition, there may be fan protests which could cause further difficulties for The Boys in Green.
Good luck with your bets today!
Please note that odds vary. The odds mentioned here are correct at the time of writing.